⚠️

Risk scores are statistical indicators based on prescribing patterns compared to specialty peers. They are NOT allegations of fraud, misconduct, or improper care. Many legitimate medical reasons can explain outlier prescribing.

Read our methodology →

Chris DuncanPA

Physician Assistant · Sanford, ME 04073

NPI: 1891755260

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43

🟠 Elevated

Risk Flags

Very high opioid rate vs specialty peers99th percentile opioid prescribingHigh long-acting opioid rate vs peers

Risk indicators are statistical patterns, not allegations. Learn more

2,519

Total Claims

$207K

Drug Cost

673

Beneficiaries

$307

Cost/Patient

Risk Score Breakdown 43/100

Low (0)Moderate (15)Elevated (30)High (50+)
Opioid rate vs specialty peers+18
Opioid rate (national percentile)+15
Long-acting opioid rate+8

Score components are additive. Read full methodology

Peer Comparison vs. 109,535 Physician Assistant providers

+660%

Opioid rate vs peers

69.8% vs 9.2% avg

-57%

Cost per patient vs peers

$307 vs $719 avg

+24%

Brand preference vs peers

8.3% vs 6.7% avg

⚠️ This provider has metrics more than 3 standard deviations above their specialty average in one or more categories.

🔎 Data Overview

⚠️

Opioid prescribing rate is 660% above the average for Physician Assistant providers. While some providers legitimately treat pain-heavy populations, deviations of this magnitude are rare and warrant examination.

Insights generated from CMS data analysis. Statistical patterns are not accusations — always consider clinical context.

Opioid Prescribing

69.8%

Opioid Rate

1,759

Opioid Claims

$145K

Opioid Cost

21.2%

Long-Acting Rate

This provider's opioid prescribing rate of 69.8% is above the 20% threshold that CMS considers elevated.

Brand vs Generic

92% generic

Brand: 208 claims · $115K

Generic: 2,311 claims · $92K

Patient Profile

68

Avg Age

64%

Female

1.67

Avg Risk Score

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Data from CMS Medicare Part D Prescriber Public Use File, 2023. Risk scores are statistical indicators, not allegations.Methodology · About